If a week is a long time in politics, then ten days is an eternity, especially if you belong to Fianna Fáil.
On February 15th we looked at the betting markets to see the most likely outcome in the 12 dublin constituencies.
Looking at them today with five hours to go before the polls close the change in the mood over the last week and a half is apparent.
- FG 18 (+3)
- LAB 14 (-1)
- SF 6 (no change)
- ULA 3 (no change)
- Independents 3 (no change)
- Greens 2 (+2)
- FF 1 (-4)
Hidden within are some other quirky changes. Trevor Sargeant and Eamon Ryan have edged ahead of two FF candidates in Dublin North and Dublin South.
Cait Keane has replaced Eamon Moloney of Labour who had in turn displaced Conor Lenihan of FF in the very tight race for the fourth seat in Dublin South West.
Joan Collins of People Before Profit is now ahead of Michael Mulcahy in Dublin South Central but that only makes up for the double change in Dun Laoghaire where Mary Mitchell O’Connor of FG and Ivana Bacik of Labour have nudged ahead of Richie Boyd Barrett and Mary Hanafin.
Others to watch with interest are the very close race between Larry O’Toole and Sean Kenny in the three seat Dublin North East; Dublin South East where Independent Paul Sommerville has replaced Chris Andrews as the most likely challenger to Kevin Humphreys; and Dublin West where the big guns of Burton, Varadkar and Higgins look to be safe but where Kieran Dennison of FG is closing the gap on Brian Lenihan. That would mean wipe out for Fianna Fáil in Dublin.